Page 27 - IJSA, Vol. 3, No 2, 2020
P. 27

рrint ISSN: 2617-2682; online ISSN: 2707-3637; DOI:10.26697/ijsa            IJSA

            Introduction
            The world which we lived in, has changed for several   Certainly,  strict  authoritarian  government  measures
            months of 2020, and will never be the same as before.   have produced a significant effect on resisting the spread
            Nowadays the whole human race is undergoing a crisis   of the COVID-19 pandemic in China. Still, the issues of
            whose  duration  and  consequences  are  difficult  to   how it is justified, what its efficiency is for an individual
            forecast.  Even  model  developers  and  computer   country  and  the  world  on  the  whole,  are  left  to  be
            specialists  cannot  give  precise  prognoses  of  the  way   analysed.  Government  policies  in  different  states
            further events related to the COVID-19 pandemic will   concerning  administrative  measures  (starting  with
            develop.                                            closing  borders  and  finishing  with  work  of  national
            Science and technologies have turned to be powerless   health systems) are necessary to be considered as well.
            not only in terms of resisting this pandemic but also in   The  aim  of  the  study.  To  explore  the  influence  of
            terms  of  foretelling  how  the  events  will  change.  The   different approaches to solving the pandemic problem in
            problem  was  that  model  developers  did  not  have  any   Ukraine,  Singapore,  and  China  (from  formal
            idea  of  how  the  virus  would  behave  in  natural   government  measures  to  personal  responsibility  and
            conditions. Modelling  was based on the possibility to   health  culture  of  the  population)  on  the  indicators  of
            control  the  virus,  i.  e.  control  of  the  man  as  a  virus’   COVID-19 dynamics.
            master but not of a virus as a virus molecule beyond the
            master.                                             Materials and Methods
            Despite  an  extremely  tiny  size  (there  can  be  tens  of   A complex of methods was used: theoretical – factor-
            millions  of  virus  entities  on  one  square  millimetre   criterion  analysis,  abstraction,  comparison,  synthesis,
            (Koops,  2020)  and  a  short  life  of  SARS-CoV-2   systematisation,   generalisation;   empirical   –
            Coronavirus, this period turned to be enough for its rapid   observational   methods  (systematic  observation);
            spread around the whole world.                      methods of mathematical analysis.
            Undoubtedly this spread has been mainly caused by a
            man’s  significant  role  in  it.  But  why  have  all  the   Results
            measures over people who carry this virus, proved to be   In the study of the quantity of those who have caught the
            low-efficient  in  confronting  this  threat?  The  infection   disease,  and  recovered  after  it,  and  the  indices  of  the
            that appeared on the territory of a sub-provincial town   death  rate  to  demonstrate  different  strategies  by
            Wuhan in the province of Hubei in China, has grown   struggling the  COVID-19 pandemic,  we based on the
            from  a  local  problem  into  the  one  of  an  international   official data of Johns Hopkins University, Coronavirus
            scope just for several months.                      Resource Center (2020).
            As we have mentioned China, for fairness’ sake I should   To analyse the dynamics of the  COVID-19 pandemic
            admit that namely China has demonstrated the highest   spread, I have chosen the country that I live in (Ukraine),
            indices in struggling COVID-19 spread and measures of   and  the  country  situated  in  the  list  next  to  Ukraine
            giving medical assistance to the infected population.   (Singapore), Tables 1–3.

            Table 1. The COVID-19 pandemic indicators (June 28, 2020).
                  Position         Country       Number of cases   Number of recovered   Number of deaths
                     34           Singapore          43,246             37,163                26
                     35            Ukraine           42,932             19,350               1,121

            Table 2. The COVID-19 pandemic indicators (July 1, 2020).
                  Position         Country       Number of cases   Number of recovered   Number of deaths
                     34            Ukraine           45,924             20,244                1,188
                     35           Singapore          44,122             39,011                 26

            Table 3. The COVID-19 pandemic indicators (October 28, 2020).
                  Position         Country       Number of cases   Number of recovered   Number of deaths
                     21            Ukraine          374,023            155,028                6,938
                     66           Singapore          57,987             57,883                 28

            We use the comparison method to analyse the data. This   calculating  the  deviations  of  indicators  in  the
            method assumes the calculation of deviations: relative   comparative period (data in Table 1 and Table 3) are
            (based on the growth rate) and absolute. The results of   presented in Table 4.

            Table 4. Results of calculating deviations of indicators in the comparative period.
                               Growth rate, %            Relative deviation, %      Absolute deviation, people
              Country   Number    Number    Number  Number    Number    Number   Number    Number    Number
                        of cases     of    of deaths  of cases   of       of     of cases     of       of
                                 recovered                    recovered   deaths          recovered   deaths
              Ukraine    871.2     801.2    618.9     771.2    701.2     518.9   331,091   135,678    5,817
             Singapore   134.1     155.8    107.7     34.1      55.8      7.7     14,741    20,720     2

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